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Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Odds

NL East · 88-74 · #2 in Division · W1
100.0%
Playoff Probability
Strong Favorite

Season Overview

Record88-74
Win %0.543
Games Remaining0
Projected RecordNone
Projected Seed#6
StreakW1

Playoff Numbers

Playoff Odds100.0%
Win Division0.0%
Magic Number—
Schedule Difficulty#— of 30
Hardest Remaining—
Best Case Tonight100.0%
Worst Case Tonight100.0%

Postseason Path

Make WC Round100.0%
Win Division Series44.7%
Win LCS18.7%
Win Pennant7.9%
Win World Series3.8%

Playoff Odds Over Time

Seed Probabilities

SeedProbability
#6 Seed100.0%

NL East Standings

TeamRecordPlayoff Odds
Atlanta Braves94-68100.0%
Philadelphia Phillies88-74100.0%
Miami Marlins80-820.0%
Washington Nationals77-850.0%
New York Mets74-880.0%

Philadelphia Phillies 2026 Playoff Chances

The Philadelphia Phillies currently have a 100.0% probability of making the 2026 MLB playoffs, based on BaseChaser's 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations updated daily. With a record of 88-74 and 0 games remaining, the Phillies are projected to finish the season at None.

Their remaining schedule ranks #— in difficulty out of 30 MLB teams.

These Philadelphia Phillies playoff odds are calculated using Elo ratings calibrated to real game results, blended with WAR-based team strength priors. BaseChaser simulates the entire remaining MLB season 100,000 times, accounting for schedule difficulty, head-to-head matchups, and division/Wild Card tiebreaker rules.

All Teams

Arizona Diamondbacks Atlanta Braves Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox Chicago Cubs Chicago White Sox Cincinnati Reds Cleveland Guardians Colorado Rockies Detroit Tigers Houston Astros Kansas City Royals Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Dodgers Miami Marlins Milwaukee Brewers Minnesota Twins New York Mets New York Yankees Oakland Athletics Philadelphia Phillies Pittsburgh Pirates San Diego Padres San Francisco Giants Seattle Mariners St. Louis Cardinals Tampa Bay Rays Texas Rangers Toronto Blue Jays Washington Nationals