MLB Playoff Odds
Updated: 2026-07-20 22:21 UTC — Powered by 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
⚔️ Tonight's big one: CWS @ TEX — both teams fighting for playoff position.
⚡ White Sox @ Rangers — both with playoff stakes. ⚡ Orioles @ Red Sox — both with playoff stakes. +13 more games.
📈 Movers: Red Sox ↑8%, Orioles ↑5%, Mariners ↑14%, Blue Jays ↓4%, Twins ↓6%, Rangers ↓10%
🫧 Bubble Watch: Phillies (74%) in good shape with 62 games to go. | Guardians (72%) in good shape with 62 games to go. | White Sox (71%) in good shape with 64 games to go. | Red Sox (65%) in good shape with 64 games to go.
| Team | Record | Division | Playoff Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 63-37 | NL West | 99.8% |
| MIL | 62-37 | NL Central | 98.5% |
| TB | 56-42 | AL East | 93.1% |
| NYY | 55-44 | AL East | 90.9% |
| ATL | 57-41 | NL East | 89.9% |
| CHC | 56-43 | NL Central | 80.7% |
| PHI | 55-45 | NL East | 74.5% |
| CLE | 52-48 | AL Central | 71.9% |
| CWS | 52-46 | AL Central | 71.1% |
| BOS | 50-48 | AL East | 65.1% |
| TEX | 50-49 | AL West | 59.3% |
| SEA | 50-50 | AL West | 50.6% |
| PIT | 52-48 | NL Central | 37.9% |
| MIN | 49-51 | AL Central | 31.7% |
| MIA | 52-48 | NL East | 31.6% |
| BAL | 49-51 | AL East | 30.7% |
| STL | 51-47 | NL Central | 30.3% |
| ARI | 51-48 | NL West | 29.7% |
| SD | 49-50 | NL West | 14.1% |
| HOU | 47-54 | AL West | 13.0% |
| WSH | 50-50 | NL East | 12.2% |
| TOR | 46-53 | AL East | 11.3% |
| DET | 46-53 | AL Central | 10.2% |
| OAK | 42-57 | AL West | 1.0% |
| CIN | 45-53 | NL Central | 0.7% |
| KC | 40-60 | AL Central | 0.1% |
| NYM | 42-58 | NL East | 0.1% |
| SF | 42-57 | NL West | 0.1% |
| LAA | 39-61 | AL West | 0.0% |
| COL | 40-61 | NL West | 0.0% |