| Team | Record | Playoff Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | 94-68 | 100.0% |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 88-74 | 100.0% |
| Miami Marlins | 80-82 | 0.0% |
| Washington Nationals | 77-85 | 0.0% |
| New York Mets | 74-88 | 0.0% |
The New York Mets currently have a 0.0% probability of making the 2026 MLB playoffs, based on BaseChaser's 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations updated daily. With a record of 74-88 and 0 games remaining, the Mets are projected to finish the season at 74-88.
Their remaining schedule ranks #— in difficulty out of 30 MLB teams.
These New York Mets playoff odds are calculated using Elo ratings calibrated to real game results, blended with WAR-based team strength priors. BaseChaser simulates the entire remaining MLB season 100,000 times, accounting for schedule difficulty, head-to-head matchups, and division/Wild Card tiebreaker rules.