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Baltimore Orioles Playoff Odds

AL East · 79-82 · #4 in Division · L1
0.0%
Playoff Probability
Eliminated

Season Overview

Record79-82
Win %0.491
Games Remaining1
Projected Record80-82
Projected Seed#8
StreakL1

Playoff Numbers

Playoff Odds0.0%
Win Division0.0%
Magic Number—
Schedule Difficulty#— of 30
Hardest Remaining—
Best Case Tonight0.0%
Worst Case Tonight0.0%

Postseason Path

Playoff Odds Over Time

Seed Probabilities

SeedProbability
#7 Seed47.9%
#8 Seed48.2%
#9 Seed3.9%

AL East Standings

TeamRecordPlayoff Odds
Tampa Bay Rays98-64100.0%
New York Yankees93-68100.0%
Boston Red Sox87-75100.0%
Baltimore Orioles79-820.0%
Toronto Blue Jays79-830.0%

Baltimore Orioles 2026 Playoff Chances

The Baltimore Orioles currently have a 0.0% probability of making the 2026 MLB playoffs, based on BaseChaser's 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations updated daily. With a record of 79-82 and 1 games remaining, the Orioles are projected to finish the season at 80-82.

Their remaining schedule ranks #— in difficulty out of 30 MLB teams.

These Baltimore Orioles playoff odds are calculated using Elo ratings calibrated to real game results, blended with WAR-based team strength priors. BaseChaser simulates the entire remaining MLB season 100,000 times, accounting for schedule difficulty, head-to-head matchups, and division/Wild Card tiebreaker rules.

All Teams

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