Los Angeles Dodgers Playoff Odds
Season Overview
Playoff Numbers
Postseason Path
Playoff Odds Over Time
Seed Probabilities
| Seed | Probability |
|---|---|
| #1 Seed | 22.7% |
| #2 Seed | 40.5% |
| #3 Seed | 33.5% |
| #4 Seed | 0.6% |
| #5 Seed | 1.4% |
| #6 Seed | 0.3% |
| #7 Seed | 1.0% |
| #8 Seed | 0.1% |
NL West Standings
| Team | Record | Playoff Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 74-50 | 98.9% |
| San Diego Padres | 66-58 | 62.5% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 66-58 | 60.5% |
| San Francisco Giants | 51-72 | 0.0% |
| Colorado Rockies | 49-74 | 0.0% |
Los Angeles Dodgers 2026 Playoff Chances
The Los Angeles Dodgers currently have a 98.9% probability of making the 2026 MLB playoffs, based on BaseChaser's 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations updated daily. With a record of 74-50 and 38 games remaining, the Dodgers are projected to finish the season at 95-67.
The Dodgers have a magic number of 31 to clinch a playoff spot. Their remaining schedule ranks #26 in difficulty out of 30 MLB teams. Tonight, their playoff odds range from 99% (worst case) to 99% (best case) depending on results around the league.
These Los Angeles Dodgers playoff odds are calculated using Elo ratings calibrated to real game results, blended with WAR-based team strength priors. BaseChaser simulates the entire remaining MLB season 100,000 times, accounting for schedule difficulty, head-to-head matchups, and division/Wild Card tiebreaker rules.