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Seattle Mariners Playoff Odds

AL West · 76-86 · #3 in Division · W2
0.0%
Playoff Probability
Eliminated

Season Overview

Record76-86
Win %0.469
Games Remaining0
Projected Record76-86
Projected Seed#11
StreakW2

Playoff Numbers

Playoff Odds0.0%
Win Division0.0%
Magic Number—
Schedule Difficulty#— of 30
Hardest Remaining—
Best Case Tonight0.0%
Worst Case Tonight0.0%

Postseason Path

Playoff Odds Over Time

Seed Probabilities

SeedProbability
#11 Seed9.0%
#12 Seed91.0%

AL West Standings

TeamRecordPlayoff Odds
Houston Astros81-8196.7%
Texas Rangers80-823.3%
Seattle Mariners76-860.0%
Oakland Athletics64-980.0%
Los Angeles Angels62-1000.0%

Seattle Mariners 2026 Playoff Chances

The Seattle Mariners currently have a 0.0% probability of making the 2026 MLB playoffs, based on BaseChaser's 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations updated daily. With a record of 76-86 and 0 games remaining, the Mariners are projected to finish the season at 76-86.

Their remaining schedule ranks #— in difficulty out of 30 MLB teams.

These Seattle Mariners playoff odds are calculated using Elo ratings calibrated to real game results, blended with WAR-based team strength priors. BaseChaser simulates the entire remaining MLB season 100,000 times, accounting for schedule difficulty, head-to-head matchups, and division/Wild Card tiebreaker rules.

All Teams

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