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Baltimore Pushed Back Before the Edge Got Closer

The Orioles beat the Twins 5-2 and kept the door open near the bottom of the BaseChaser race.

By BaseChaser · August 12, 2026 · 3 min read

The Orioles beat the Twins 5-2 on August 11, answering quickly after taking the biggest hit on the Odds Movers board.

Baltimore needed this one because Minnesota was sitting directly above them in the chase. The Orioles got the early power they needed and never let the game get away.

Pete Alonso went 3-for-4 with a two-run homer. Gunnar Henderson went 3-for-5 with a homer, a double, and 2 RBI. Christian Encarnacion-Strand also homered.

Brandon Young gave Baltimore 6 innings, allowing 1 earned run with 4 strikeouts.

5-2
Final score, Orioles over Twins.
16.5%
Baltimore's latest BaseChaser playoff odds.
24.0%
Minnesota's latest BaseChaser playoff odds.

What It Means

The Orioles improve to 58-62. The Twins fall to 59-62.

BaseChaser has Baltimore at 16.5% to make the playoffs. Minnesota sits at 24.0%.

Baltimore is still near the edge, but the door is not closed yet.

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