⚾ BaseChaser← Back to Odds

Miami Keeps Climbing in the Race

The Marlins beat the Mariners 8-4 and moved closer to safer ground on the BaseChaser board.

By BaseChaser · July 10, 2026 · 3 min read

The Marlins beat the Mariners 8-4 on July 9.

Seattle scored first in the second, but Miami answered right away. Griffin Conine tied the game with a solo homer, and Liam Hicks followed with an RBI double that scored Jakob Marsee to put the Marlins in front.

Miami pulled away in the fourth. Otto Lopez drove in two with a triple, and Kyle Stowers followed with an RBI single to extend the lead to 6-1.

The Mariners got home runs from Randy Arozarena and Dominic Canzone, but Miami answered with two more runs in the seventh and never let Seattle get any closer.

Janson Junk earned the win after allowing one run over five innings while striking out five.

8-4
Final score, Marlins over Mariners.
69.9%
Miami's latest BaseChaser playoff odds.
+7.0
Miami's movement on today's BaseChaser board.

What It Means

The Marlins improve to 52-42. The Mariners fall to 47-47.

BaseChaser lists the Marlins at 69.9% to make the playoffs and the Mariners at 57.1%.

Miami moved up 7.0 percentage points. Seattle dropped 3.7 percentage points on today’s BaseChaser board.

Track every team's playoff race with 100,000 simulations updated daily at BaseChaser.

100,000 simulations updated daily, see every team's playoff path

View MLB Playoff Odds →