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Chicago Did Not Just Beat New York

The Cubs beat the Mets 4-3 in 10 innings, and BaseChaser has Chicago at 57.5% to make the playoffs.

By BaseChaser · June 26, 2026 · 3 min read

Chicago beat New York 4-3 in 10 innings at Citi Field on June 25.

Michael Conforto put Chicago on the board in the sixth with a line-drive RBI single to right, scoring Dansby Swanson.

Alex Bregman followed with an RBI double to right, bringing in Conforto. Ian Happ added an RBI single to right as the Cubs stretched the lead to 3-0.

New York answered in the bottom of the sixth. Eric Wagaman hit a two-run homer to left with A.J. Ewing aboard, cutting the deficit to 3-2.

Jared Young tied the game in the seventh with a solo homer to right-center field.

In the tenth, Pete Crow-Armstrong lined an RBI double to right, scoring Matt Shaw with the go-ahead run.

Jacob Webb earned the win with one scoreless inning. Trent Thornton recorded his first save.

4-3
Final score, Cubs over Mets in 10 innings.
57.5%
Chicago's latest BaseChaser playoff odds.
+18.2
Cubs playoff odds movement over the last week.
85-77
Chicago's projected record in BaseChaser simulations.

What It Means

Final: Cubs 4, Mets 3.

The Cubs improve to 44-37. The Mets fall to 34-47.

BaseChaser lists the Cubs at 57.5% to make the playoffs and the Mets at 0.5%.

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