# BaseChaser — MLB Playoff Odds
> Updated: 2026-05-21 00:04 UTC
> Source: basechaser.com
> Data: 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations per run
> API: basechaser.com/data/playoff_odds.json

## Current Playoff Odds

| Team | Record | Division | Playoff % | Best Tonight | Worst Tonight |
|------|--------|----------|-----------|-------------|--------------|
| TB | 33-15 | AL East | 96.2% | 96.2% | 96.2% |
| ATL | 33-16 | NL East | 94.8% | 95% | 94% |
| NYY | 30-19 | AL East | 94.5% | 95% | 94% |
| LAD | 30-19 | NL West | 88.9% | 91% | 88.9% |
| CLE | 28-22 | AL Central | 75.2% | 78% | 72% |
| CHC | 29-20 | NL Central | 71.4% | 74% | 69% |
| MIL | 28-18 | NL Central | 71.1% | 74% | 69% |
| SD | 29-19 | NL West | 68.3% | 71% | 68.3% |
| TEX | 24-25 | AL West | 56.1% | 56.1% | 56.1% |
| STL | 28-19 | NL Central | 54.2% | 57% | 51% |
| SEA | 24-27 | AL West | 50.4% | 50.4% | 50.4% |
| OAK | 24-24 | AL West | 48.1% | 51% | 48.1% |
| CWS | 25-24 | AL Central | 45.1% | 45.1% | 45.1% |
| PHI | 25-25 | NL East | 41.4% | 41.4% | 41.4% |
| ARI | 25-23 | NL West | 37.3% | 37.3% | 37.3% |
| TOR | 21-27 | AL East | 31.2% | 35% | 29% |
| MIN | 23-27 | AL Central | 26.5% | 26.5% | 26.5% |
| BOS | 21-27 | AL East | 25.9% | 28% | 23% |
| CIN | 26-24 | NL Central | 25.6% | 25.6% | 25.6% |
| PIT | 24-24 | NL Central | 21.0% | 24% | 18% |
| BAL | 21-29 | AL East | 16.9% | 16.9% | 16.9% |
| KC | 20-29 | AL Central | 12.1% | 14% | 10% |
| DET | 20-29 | AL Central | 11.9% | 14% | 10% |
| HOU | 20-31 | AL West | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| WSH | 24-25 | NL East | 8.7% | 10% | 7% |
| NYM | 21-27 | NL East | 8.4% | 10% | 7% |
| MIA | 22-27 | NL East | 5.5% | 6% | 5% |
| SF | 20-30 | NL West | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| LAA | 17-32 | AL West | 1.1% | 1% | 1.1% |
| COL | 19-31 | NL West | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |

## Tonight's Games
- CIN 9 @ PHI 4 (Final)
- BAL 3 @ TB 5 (Final)
- HOU 1 @ MIN 4 (Final)
- TEX 5 @ COL 4 (Final)
- SF 3 @ ARI 6 (Final)
- CWS 4 @ SEA 5 (Final)
- CLE 0 @ DET 0 (Live)
- ATL 5 @ MIA 1 (Live)
- NYM 2 @ WSH 4 (Live)
- TOR @ NYY (2026-05-20T23:05:00Z)
- BOS 1 @ KC 1 (Live)
- MIL 0 @ CHC 0 (Live)
- PIT 0 @ STL 0 (Live)
- LAD @ SD (2026-05-21T00:40:00Z)
- OAK @ LAA (2026-05-21T01:38:00Z)

## About
BaseChaser uses Monte Carlo simulation to estimate MLB playoff probabilities.
Not affiliated with MLB. For entertainment purposes.